GR Notes 2026

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‘It’s a matter of who blinks first, the Americans or the Iranians’

It’s a matter of who blinks first, the Americans or the Iranians’

By Ali Hashem
Reporting from Tehran, Iran
We’re currently dealing with two rhetorics: the Iranian rhetoric that stresses defending itself against the US and Israel, and the American rhetoric that it will not accept that Tehran blackmails the world.

But the issue right now is that the Strait of Hormuz is closed, regardless of who is closing the strait, whether it’s the Iranian blockade or the American blockade. The strait is closed, and this will have serious implications for the global economy.

Now, this plays into Iran’s hands because this is what they wanted from the beginning when they started launching rockets and drones towards the Gulf countries and the oil facilities, and later on, closing the strait. However, there is a big question [regarding] how much Iran can stay without selling oil the way it used to.

But we do know that Iran, which has been under pressure [and] under sanctions in recent years, has created several and different ways to sell its oil in a way that it could not be discovered.

We also know that most of the Iranian oil is sold outside the Strait of Hormuz, so now it’s a matter of who blinks first, the Americans or the Iranians.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/14/iran-war-live-trump-claims-tehran-wants-a-deal-amid-us-blockade-of-hormuz?update=4489915